The Denver Nuggets are 2.5-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the NBA Finals against the Miami Heat at FTX Arena on Friday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Nuggets hold a 2-1 lead in the series. The over/under is 211.5 in the matchup.

Heat vs. Nuggets Odds & Info

  • When: Friday, June 9, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
  • TV: ABC
Favorite Spread Over/Under
Nuggets -2.5 211.5

Check out the latest NBA odds and place your bets on this matchup with BetMGM Sportsbook.

Heat Betting Records & Stats

  • Miami and its opponents have combined to score more than 211.5 points in 57 of 82 games this season.
  • Miami's average game total this season has been 219.3, 7.8 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • Miami is 30-52-0 ATS this year.
  • The Heat have come away with seven wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Miami has won five of its 15 games, or 33.3%, when it is the underdog by at least +125 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Miami has a 44.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Heat vs Nuggets Additional Info

Heat vs. Nuggets Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)

Games Over 211.5 % of Games Over 211.5 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Nuggets 69 84.1% 115.8 225.3 112.5 222.3 229.9
Heat 57 69.5% 109.5 225.3 109.8 222.3 219.6

Additional Heat Insights & Trends

  • Miami has a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in its past 10 contests.
  • Four of the Heat's past 10 outings have hit the over.
  • Against the spread, Miami has had better results away (16-25-0) than at home (14-27-0).
  • The Heat put up an average of 109.5 points per game, just three fewer points than the 112.5 the Nuggets give up to opponents.
  • Miami has put together a 15-15 ATS record and a 22-8 overall record in games it scores more than 112.5 points.

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Heat vs. Nuggets Betting Splits

Nuggets and Heat Betting Information
ATS Record ATS Record Against 2.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Nuggets 45-37 29-28 38-44
Heat 30-52 10-10 41-41

Heat vs. Nuggets Point Insights

Nuggets Heat
115.8
Points Scored (PG)
 109.5
12
NBA Rank (PPG)
 30
39-22
ATS Record Scoring AVG+
 15-15
48-13
Overall Record Scoring AVG+
 22-8
112.5
Points Allowed (PG)
 109.8
8
NBA Rank (PAPG)
 2
27-7
ATS Record Allowing < AVG
 25-36
28-6
Overall Record Allowing < AVG
 38-23

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