The Miami Heat are 1.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics at FTX Arena on Tuesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Heat have a 3-0 series lead.

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Heat vs. Celtics Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, May 23, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: FTX Arena

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Heat vs. Celtics Score Prediction

  • Prediction: Celtics 113 - Heat 111

Heat vs Celtics Additional Info

Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Celtics

  • Pick ATS: Celtics (+ 1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (216.5)
  • The Celtics' .537 ATS win percentage (44-35-3 ATS Record) is higher than the Heat's .366 mark (30-48-4 ATS Record) in 2022-23.
  • When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Miami (17-35-4) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (30.4%) than Boston (7-1) does as the underdog (87.5%).
  • Miami's games have gone over the total 48.8% of the time this season (40 out of 82), less often than Boston's games have (43 out of 82).
  • The Heat have a .621 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (36-22) this season, higher than the .500 winning percentage for the Celtics as a moneyline underdog (4-4).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • Although Miami is scoring just 109.5 points per game (worst in NBA), its defense has been playing really well, as it ranks second-best in the league by surrendering 109.8 points per game.
  • The Heat are averaging 23.8 dimes per game, which ranks them 25th in the NBA in 2022-23.
  • The Heat rank fourth-worst in the NBA with a 34.4% shooting percentage from downtown. Meanwhile, they are draining 12 three-pointers per game (16th-ranked in league).
  • When it comes to shot breakdown, Miami has taken 59.2% two-pointers (accounting for 69.5% of the team's baskets) and 40.8% three-pointers (30.5%).

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