A cold front will sink south today and stall in south Florida. The front will help trigger showers and thunderstorms especially in the second half of the day. Some of the showers could be heavy rain producers leading to ponding on roadways. This will be the last day, even in the long-range forecast,

Rain chances remain high today as deep moisture, a trough of low pressure and daytime heating combine to produce scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms.

An increase in moisture and an afternoon sea breeze will bring a few fair-weather clouds to an otherwise mostly sunny day.

It will be a mostly sunny day with light winds this afternoon. This may come as welcome news to boaters who have had to deal with a very breezy wind for the last few days.

Dry air aloft and high pressured anchored over the south will bring a warmer than average day and little chance for rain.

High pressure to the north controls the weather again today. Dry air aloft will limit the number of storms we see but the ones that do form could have gusty winds.

A very dry air mass sits over the state of Florida and a breezy east wind blows with gusts to 20 mph this afternoon. The dry air aloft will limit shower activity to only brief fast-moving light showers or drizzle without much accumulation.

Karen is a weak and ragged tropical storm that has had a very difficult time holding together. Expect a sunny dry day today.

Drier air is in place on the Suncoast will limit the rain chances. A wave of tropical moisture will glide into South Florida Saturday and slightly increase our rain chance.

Today is the day a cold front will move past us and kick up a wind that drives some lower humidity air into the Suncoast. Skies will become mostly sunny as the rain showers end.

Dry air aloft brings wall to wall sunshine today. With all the heating our afternoon temperatures will be warm.

As hurricane Humberto makes its turn toward the open waters of the Atlantic, it will still exert an influence on our weather. It will help dry us out.

The Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine located near the central Bahamas will continue to become better organized and move to the northwest.

Models are split on the path of the storm. The European model has shifted west and keeps a rapidly developing stronger storm off shore of the east coast. The American model has a less intense storm moving closer to Florida.

Dry and high pressure will limit the chance for showers this afternoon. With a generally east or northeast wind that will surge a bit in the afternoon and evening, we will see a few isolated showers build in inland locations in the early afternoon and then drift to the coast.

A Heat Advisory in effect for the afternoon between noon and 6 pm. The combination of the high humidity and the warm temperatures will bring the "feels like" temperatures up to about 108 degrees to 112 degrees.

Heavy rain will fall on that coast Wednesday and surf will be elevated. But on our coast, we’ll see breezy conditions, prompting Small Craft and Rip Current advisories. The breezy conditions will likely begin to subside by Friday as Dorian continues to move away.

Dorian’s forecast track continues to keep the storm off the coast of Florida with the forecast cone now keeping the uncertainty of two thirds error off land. The effects of the storm will still be felt on the Atlantic coast with gusty winds, rain and high water.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami said in an advisory at 11 a.m. that Dorian’s maximum sustained winds are 155 mph, which takes the extremely dangerous storm down one notch, from Category 5.

Until the storm has made its turn to the north and moved above the Suncoast in latitude, we should remain vigilant with regards to its track.

Its central pressure is dropping, its speed is increasing, the eye is forming and its rapidly developing. On Saturday, the storm will turn to the west and start heading for Florida, increasing to a Category 4 hurricane in strength.

It is still forecast to become a Category 2 then Category 3 major hurricane over the next 24 to 48 hours. Now that the center is out over open very warm water we can expect a rapid increase in intensity.

Dorian, now a Category 1 hurricane, is gaining in strength and new forecasting shows it possibly becoming a Category 3 storm before it hits the East Coast of the United States - but where it will hit remains uncertain.

High pressure keeps control of our weather over the next few days. It will bring us a west wind that will cause a few morning and early afternoon showers near the coast. By early afternoon the showers will cross the interstate and increase in coverage, leaving the coastal areas drier.

We have active weather to start the new work week on the Suncoast. A trough of low pressure is sagging into north Florida and helping hold a high pressure ridge to our south. With the high to our south, our winds have shifted to the southwest.

There are several elements of the forecast that will be carefully watched over the next few days. The first is an area of disturbed weather just off the south Florida Atlantic coast.

Slightly drier air will reduce the rain chances for today to only 20%. There will be some storms that develop but the coverage will be much less that on a typical summer day.

Slightly drier air is in the process of moving into the atmosphere from the Atlantic. The impact for the Suncoast will be a slightly lower coverage of the afternoon showers today

An area of high pressure is now to our north and so our winds will remain out of the southeast today. The winds across the state and our local sea breeze will meet in the afternoon and trigger numerous thunderstorms along the interstate corridor.

We are returning to a more typical summer Suncoast pattern today. As high pressure begins to shift to the north our winds will establish out of the east. A sea breeze will form in the afternoon and rain chances increase late in the day.