A series of cold fronts will bring dry and cooler air our way and keep us in rain free skies for the week ahead. A few morning showers will sink south of the area by mid morning and our afternoon will be sunny and very mild.

Much cooler air is on the way for the Suncoast with a one-two punch of successive cold fronts. With the month on the way to being in the top one or two hottest Octobers on record and the long range winter outlook for a warmer winter than normal, many will enjoy the cooler weather

Hurricane Zeta continues to show signs of intensification as it lifts north in the central Gulf waters. I is on an unchanged track for the northern Gulf coast. Swells propagating outward will increase our rip current risk for several day on the Suncoast beaches

Yesterday we tied the all time high temperature record for the day and today the record is in jeopardy. High pressure over Florida is building and expanding, keeping tropical cyclone Zeta away from the Suncoast, and directing our winds out of the southeast

High pressure will bring us a mostly sunny day today as our winds out of the southeast transport enough moisture to trigger scattered afternoon storms. Humidity will be on the rise for the next few days and our “feels like” temperatures will approach or exceed 100 each day through mid-week

When compared to earlier in the week, our rain chances continue to drop today. Dry air will continue to move into the air above the Suncoast with a dry air surge on Sunday

Chance for showers today

Sandwiched between the Bermuda High to our north and a general area of low pressure to the south in the Caribbean, our east wind pattern continues to pump in moisture.

Some of the dry air from over the weekend still limits our Sunocast rain chances today. While it will not be a wash-out by any means, it is possible to see a showers at almost anytime today

Moisture will lift up from the south today and cloud cover will increase as a cold front approaches from the north. Most of the day will be warm and humid but dry this morning and early afternoon

It will be another day with well above average high temperatures and moisture will also increase, making it feel even warmer. If you have been hoping for cooler weekend air, as I have, that hope seems more remote today.

The Suncoast will see two more hot and sunny days with increasing humidity before rain chances go up. On Friday a cold front will approach and bring a chance for showers and perhaps a isolated thunderstorm in the afternoon hours. The rain chance will be about 30%.

The cool front that reduced our humidity a bit is now to our south and dry air aloft has moved in. Sunshine will be the hallmark of today’s forecast with a zero percent rain chance. We will enjoy slightly lower humidity but still enough moisture remains that, with our cooler morning temperatures, we

A cold front has moved past our area and triggered a shower or two to our south. Over the Suncoast some drier air aloft has moved in and will sliced our rain chance to less than 10% for today and tomorrow. At the surface the moisture is still high, but lower than we experienced over the weekend.

As major Hurricane Delta closes in on a landfall later this afternoon or evening, we continue to have reduced rain chances on the Suncoast today. The greatest impact on the Suncoast from Delta will be the coastal wave action that will bring a high risk of rip currents for today and the weekend

Although Hurricane Delta will remain far from the Suncoast it will have impacts on our weather. Similar to Hurricane Laura, which hit the same general location where Delta is forecast to make landfall, wave action propagating outward and across the Gulf will produce an increasing risk of rip current

Hurricane Delta has made landfall over Puerto Morelos Mexico this morning as a category 2 hurricane

Hurricane Delta moves over the Yucatan Peninsula today and emerges into the Gulf waters by evening. As this happens mid and upper wind flow brings in some drier air aloft. This will help limit rain fall today and delay the onset of showers till late in the afternoon or early in the evening

A surge of tropical moisture in advance of Hurricane Delta will bring good rainfall chances to the Suncoast today and, most likely, Wednesday. After that, with Delta likely to be a major hurricane in the western Gulf waters, drier air will move in and reduce rain chances

Tropical Storm Delta Forms

Tropical moisture will continue to bring clouds and good rain chances to the Suncoast. Additionally, we have a stalled front draped across Florida that will help lift the warm, moist air. That combination is the recipe for wide spread cloud cover and scattered showers.

A complex pattern rising air, increasing moisture, frontal boundaries and tropical systems will bring unsettled and evolving weather changes to the Suncoast

Its hard to believe, given the beautiful weather I’ve forecast over the next few days, that conditions could rapidly change on Sunday as temperatures rise and skies darken. The confidence in the Sunday through Wednesday forecast are still relatively low as slight variations in intensity and position

A weather pattern shift will bring lovely weather for several days to the Suncoast. Morning temperatures started off ten degrees cooler in northern locations and a breezy north wind continues to draw down the lower humidity air.

A cool front will approach the Suncoast today and trigger better chances for showers and thunderstorms in the second half of the day. While severe weather is not expected, thunderstorms with some heavy rain will be possible

For a few more days the atmosphere over the Suncoast will be steeped in moisture and primed to produce thunderstorms, some of which could produce heavy rains.

As of 5 AM the outer eye wall of category 2 Sally is skirting the north Gulf Coast between Dauphin Island and Pensacola

Wave action moving outward from Sally brings another day with rip currents in our area waters. In the video I describe what a rip current is and how it impacts swimmers.

Sally has become a hurricane in the Gulf waters. Sally is in a select group of hurricanes that have formed in the Gulf of Mexico

The tropical cyclone in our offshore waters, named Sally, has it’s eye set on the northern Gulf coast. Nevertheless, it will impact us with several hazards Monday