Some slightly drier air will be hanging around through Thursday in the mid to upper levels of the atmosphere mean only a few late day storms on Wednesday. Some of those storms could bring some moderate to heavy rainfall and some dangerous lightning.
With the predominate west wind gone and now an east to southeast wind we can expect mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms to develop each day this week and move from inland areas toward the coast.
The front which has been responsible for all the rain is about to fade away but not until late Saturday. High pressure will build back to our north which will switch our winds around to the SE which will bring mainly afternoon and evening storms coming to the coast from inland areas.
Just one more day of gloomy weather and then things start to improve for the weekend. We have declared Friday as a First Alert Weather day due to the possibility of minor flooding and rip currents along the area beaches.
A cold front will continue to drift to the N. Gulf of Mexico on Thursday this will keep a high pressure system suppressed to our south. This will continue to funnel warm moist air in from the Gulf right into our area through Friday and possibly the weekend.
Westerly winds around an area of high pressure in the Gulf will allow for some scattered showers along the coast in the morning and early afternoon and then the main focus of storms shifts inland later in the day.
Cold fronts usually don’t make it all the way down to Florida during the heart of Summer but this one is going to do just that. This front will get hung up over N. Florida on Wednesday and force a lot of moisture into W. Central Florida through Thursday.
With a nice southeast wind to start the day on Thursday we will see mostly sunny skies to start the day. Once again a sea breeze will kick in and bring a good chance for late day storms, some of which could be strong to severe.
You can say we are into a typical summer pattern now as high pressure is located to our north and east. This brings in the SE wind flow which pumps up the moisture and collides with the sea breeze bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to the Suncoast during the late afternoon and early eveni
Big weekend ahead for the Sarasota Powerboats Grand Prix festival. The races are on Sunday off of Lido beach at 10 a.m. and we could see a few storms around which may disrupt the event for a little while due to a wind shift change on Sunday.
Many will have the day off on Friday to continue their Fourth of July weekend. We will not have the day off from the heat however as highs are expected to reach 92 degrees and a heat index around 104 in the afternoon.