SARASOTA, Fla. (WWSB) -
Tropical Storm Sally has sustained winds of 40 mph with higher wind gusts and the forward speed is starting to decrease as it moves west-northwest at 8 mph. The storm is starting to slowly move away from Florida and into the eastern Gulf of Mexico, but we will continue to see squalls across the Suncoast through Sunday. As we get onto the eastern side of the storm there will be a risk for isolated tornadoes. Soils are saturated from heavy rain over the last couple of days, and with multiple rounds of tropical downpours there becomes a threat for minor flooding to take place especially for low lying areas and areas with poor drainage. Models are in good agreement that parts of the Suncoast could receive another 2-4 inches of rainfall through Sunday night.
Life threatening storm surge is possible along the Gulf Coast beginning on Monday, and a Storm Surge Watch is in effect for areas outside the southeast Louisiana Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Alabama/Florida border. Hurricane conditions are possible by early Tuesday from Grand Isle, Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border, including Metropolitan New Orleans, with tropical storm conditions possible by Monday. Tropical storm conditions are possible early next week in portions of the Florida Panhandle, where a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect. Wind gusts to tropical storm force could occur over portions of the lower Florida Keys overnight.
Hurricane Paulette - Paulette now has maximum sustained winds of 75 mph with higher wind gusts. The storm is expected to approach Bermuda as a hurricane on Sunday and will be near the island Sunday night and Monday. A prolonged period of strong winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall is expected on Bermuda beginning Sunday evening, and a hurricane warning is in effect for the island. Swells produced by Paulette are affecting portions of the Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the east coast of the United States. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Tropical Depression Rene - Rene is likely to gradually spin down due to persistent moderate shear and a fairly dry environment. The hostile conditions are not likely to change too much, so Rene is forecast to lose all convection in a day or two and become a remnant low. Sustained winds are 30 mph and it is currently moving northwest at 13 mph.
Tropical Depression Twenty - The depression is poorly organized at this time. Maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and is moving west-northwest at 10 mph. The storm is forecast to become Tropical Storm Teddy on Sunday or early Monday morning. This storm will likely strengthen into a hurricane as it lifts northwest over the central Atlantic.
Disturbance 1 - A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing limited shower activity. While some slow development of this system is possible, strong upper-level winds related to Tropical Storm Sally will probably limit the chances of tropical cyclone formation. The disturbance is forecast to move westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the next few days.
Disturbance 2 - Showers and thunderstorms located near and west of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions support some additional development, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic during the next two or three days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. By mid-week, upper-level winds should become less conducive for development.