First Alert Weather: Today is the peak of the 2019 Hurricane season

First Alert Weather - Tuesday Afternoon

SARASOTA, Fla. (WWSB) - Expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies on this Tuesday afternoon, with warm highs in the low 90′s; (average high is 89). But the Heat index, (Feel Like Temperature), will be just over 100 degrees.

A few isolated showers and storms will develop inland, and some of these storms could stray towards the coast. Winds for this afternoon will be out of the west-southwest around 5-10 mph.

As for the tropics... September 10th is the peak of the hurricane season, and Mother Nature is right on cue.

A tropical wave looks to sweep through Florida later this week, increasing the rain chance over the upcoming weekend. But it’s not expected to develop into an organized system.

However, both the GFS and EURO forecasting models are in agreement that a more powerful tropical system “could” develop mid to late next week. While the GFS model has the system tracking towards the Bahama Islands, the EURO model has it tracking south of Cuba. We all saw what happened with Hurricane Dorian’s forecast, so trying to get a good handle where this next system is going to go, especially over a week out, is nearly impossible . So much can change from now until then. But either way, we’ll have to watch this closely, and see what the models say over the next several days. The point here is that both reliable long rang forecasting models, the EURO and GFS, are in agreement, and have been for several days now, that a big storm will develop by mid next week. Where its headed... is still yet to be determined.

In the mean time, have a fantastic Tuesday afternoon everyone, and stay cool!

Meteorologist Josh Stone

First Alert Weather - Tuesday Afternoon

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