FIRST ALERT WEATHER:

First Alert Weather - Tuesday Morning Forecast

SARASOTA, Fla. (WWSB) - Expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies on this Monday afternoon, with warm highs in the low 90′s; (average high is 89). But the Heat index, (Feel Like Temperature), will be just over 100 degrees.

A few isolated showers and storms could develop inland, and some of these storms could stray towards the coast. Winds for this afternoon will be out of the west-southwest around 5-10 mph.

As for the tropics... September 10th happens to be the statistical peak of the hurricane season, and Mother Nature is right on cue, as the tropics are currently active. Tropical storm Gabrielle is moving to the northeast over open waters of the northern part of the northern Atlantic basin, but its moving away from the US and Canada, and only disrupting shipping interests. And Gabrielle, or the remnants of it, could eventually track into Ireland.

Closer to home, a tropical wave looks to sweep through Florida later this week, increasing the rain chance over the upcoming weekend. But it won’t be a threat, as it’s not expected to develop into an organized system.

However, both the GFS and EURO forecasting models are in agreement that a more powerful tropical system could develop mid to late next week, and track towards the Bahama islands. The latest model runs on Monday afternoon, show the system to be slightly east of the Bahamas, which would be great news! However, as we all saw what happened with Hurricane Dorian, forecasting these systems, let alone a week and a half out, is not an exact science. So a lot can change from now until then, but either way, we’ll have to watch this very closely, and see what the models say over the next several days.

Have a fantastic Monday afternoon everyone!

Meteorologist Josh Stone

First Alert Weather - Tuesday Morning Forecast

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