SARASOTA (WWSB) - One more day of nice weather and then the weather takes a turn for the worse after that. Thursday we can expect partly cloudy skies with warm temperatures. Highs will be warming into the mid to upper 80s with winds out of the southeast which will bring the humidity up.
Thursday night increasing clouds along with a 40% chance for showers and thunderstorms after midnight. On Friday we will see the weather deteriorate as daylight emerges.
The rain chance increases to 100% by late morning and it continues right there through the afternoon. We will first see a prefrontal trough develop out ahead of the actual cold front. This trough has the potential of developing isolated cells which will be capable of producing some dangerous lightning, gusty winds and a possible water spout. As these storms roll onshore we may see an isolated EF0 to EF1 tornado, that is anywhere from 60 mph to 110 mph.
The actual cold front will sweep through later in the day sometime around 4-6 p.m. We may see a squall line develop with this feature as well. We will see rainfall totals around an 1 inch over most of the area with some isolated higher amounts in some locations.
It will be windy on Friday with winds out of the southwest to west through the day. This will pile the waves and water along the area beaches and into Sarasota bay. With high tide around 1:30 p.m in the afternoon and winds out of the west at 20-30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph there may be some coastal flooding. We are not expecting a huge deal but we will be monitoring that angle of the storm closely.
Small craft advisories will be flying through Saturday morning. Although the winds will let up by Saturday morning the sea state will still be agitated with seas running 6-8 feet. Much better boating weather can be expected on Sunday.
Be sure to download the WWSB ABC7 First Alert Weather app and have the severe weather warnings checked so the app will alert you when warnings are issued.