Hurricane season right around the corner

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Posted: Tuesday, May 27, 2014 7:04 pm

SARASOTA, Fla. -- With less than a week before the 2014 hurricane season begins,  tropical storm Arthur may be forming during that first week. A couple of forecast models are indicating a tropical low forming near the Yucatan and moving N-NE into the E. Gulf of Mexico during the first week of June.

GFS forecast model of possible tropical system next week.
Low pressure could be 1st storm of the season NOAA GFS Forecast image

This is not too uncommon to have a storm pop up in June. We had Andrea form in a similar place last year during the 1st week of the season. Typically these early storms don't pack as much of a punch as say the storms that develop in Aug. and Sept., but they can cause problems.

Looking at the forecast models, which are suggesting a tropical depression, or a weak tropical storm forming around June 5th. and spreading a good deal of rain our way. There will be quite a bit of shear in the neighborhood which would limit the system from becoming much of a wind storm. There will be plenty of moisture around, and could bring some heavy rain into the Suncoast, as we would be on the dirty side of the storm. This may not be all bad, as we are into the peak of brush fire season, and a heavy rain event would be helpful in limiting the scope of these dangerous fires that occur most frequently during this time of year.

Either way it should be stated that you should have your plan in place prior to the start of the season.  Know what evacuation zone your home is, and have a storm supply kit in case of power outages brought on by this possible storm, or others this season. The season runs from June 1st. through November 30th.

Bob Harrigan

For more information on protecting you and your family visit the link below.

http://www.mysuncoast.com/weather/hurricane_center/

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