First Alert Weather: Afternoon and evening thunderstorm pattern not yet established

SARASOTA, FL (WWSB) - Typically by mid June we see a moderate easterly flow across the State to begin the day.  That hasn't happened yet as a persistent trough in the jet stream has been hanging out over the eastern U.S.

Usually by now the high pressure ridge which drives the storms from inland areas toward the W. coast of Florida in the afternoon and evening is centered off the Carolina coast.

This high pressure has been sprawling over the E. Gulf and across Florida as of late.   This makes for light winds with only a sea breeze developing in the afternoon.  With this West wind we can expect mainly inland storms to develop late in the day and move slowly E.

Some of the storms may get strong and produce some heavy rain and some gusty winds but they will be far and few between.  The outflow from these isolated storms may kick off a few showers which will try and break down the sea breeze but there is little chance for coastal showers through the rest of the week.

This weekend the high will again get bumped to our South as a weak cold front moves into the SE U.S.  This will once again favor mainly inland storms this weekend.  This kind of pattern does produce a few sunrise showers along the coast but not many.

Highs will be in the upper 80s for the next 7 days with lows in the low to mid 70s which is fairly close to seasonal averages.

Bob Harrigan

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