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First Alert Weather: Now This Is More Like It!

SARASOTA, FL (WWSB) -  Plenty of sunshine is in store for the Suncoast for the rest of this weekend after about a month when it seemed like every Saturday and Sunday got clouds and at least some rain.

Little change is in store for the current pleasant weather pattern.  We will continue to have mainly sunny days and fair nights through next Wednesday, with only the slightest chance we could see a stray shower or thunderstorm.

Temperatures will remain near, or even a little below, normal for this time of year.  And daytime sea breezes will continue to make being in the sun more comfortable.

The tropics remain quiet all across the Atlantic Basin, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico.  While there is no immediate threat of tropical cyclone formation, one model has for several days tried to spin up a tropical feature over the Gulf late next week or the following weekend.

The American GFS has from run to run, and day after day, consistently had a low develop somewhere in the Gulf.  Non of the predictions had the potential low threatening the Suncoast.  The latest run has a low off the Louisiana coast next Saturday morning.

Non of the other models, including the more accurate European ECMWF model, have ever predicted this low to form.  So confidence is low that anything will form in the Gulf anytime soon.  But we do have to take notice when at least one models says pretty much the same thing day after day.

GFS Tropical

Your ABC7 First Alert weather team will keep an eye on the tropics for the rest of this Hurricane Season and keep you updated on the latest developments.

Steve Newman

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