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FIRST ALERT WEATHER: Tropical system to up our rain chances through Friday

Sarasota CO. FL (WWSB) - A weak tropical wave will over S. Florida will bring a much better chance for some showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday and beyond.

This system is not expected to develop much while it is south of the Suncoast, but it will produce showers and thunderstorms for our area through Friday. The storms will be mainly in the afternoon and evening on Wednesday, and at anytime for the rest of the work week.

The National Hurricane Center is giving it a 30% chance of developing over the next 5 days, by the way, this is same as Emily had 1 day before becoming a tropical storm and slamming into Manatee County the next day.

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Spaghetti Model

Wide spread as to what may happen with disturbance #2

During this time of year anything can happen so be sure to check in with the First Alert Weather team to stay informed with this system.

Right now intensity models at least 4 of them take it tropical storm status (+39 mph) in less than 2 days. There is a small chance it may become Irma by Friday.  The spaghetti models on Disturbance# 2 take it all over the place, so there is still a lot of uncertainty as to what may happen.

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Rainfall through Thursday

Rainfall accumulation through Thursday

The remnants of Harvey are expected to  redevelop in the SW Gulf and become a tropical storm and then possibly a strong Cat. 1 hurricane before nearing the coast of Texas on Friday.

This system has the potential of producing significant flooding over parts of E. Texas and Louisiana as it is expected to become stationary near Houston through the weekend. This has the potential of becoming a big story. Stay tuned.

The high on Tuesday was a hot one, 96 degrees, and the heat index was 105 at 3 p.m..  We can expect another warm day on Wednesday but nothing like we saw on Tuesday due to the increase in cloud cover.

So the story is, keep your umbrella handy through the weekend as the rain chances will stay elevated.

Bob Harrigan

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