SARASOTA, FL (WWSB) - All last week we were monitoring the USA forecast model, called the Global Forecasting System, spinning up another storm for this week in the Gulf
The National Hurricane Center now gives it a 20% chance of happening this week. A disturbance in the W. Caribbean is flaring up with a large area of storms gathering off the coast of Central America.
Granted the chances are low at this time, but we saw the same thing with Emily last year developing in less than 24 hours over the NE Gulf and hitting Manatee CO. with only a 20% chance for developing.
This one will not however have an impact on our coast like Emily of 2017 if it were to develop. It looks like it will track over the Yucatan Peninsula and head toward Mexico and S. Texas later this week.
Since it will be moving over land before it reaches the SW Gulf of Mexico there is very little chance for developing over then next 2 days. Once in the SW Gulf there will be a little better chance for it to get organized and could become the 2nd named storm of the season in the Atlantic basin.
They already have the 2nd named storm in the E. Pacific called Bud. Bud follows Aletta which was a major hurricane just a few days ago. Bud now is packing winds of 130 mph making it the 2nd major hurricane of the season.
The Pacific has a whole different set of names it uses for the storms compared to the Atlantic basin. The next name up for us is Beryl, pronounced BEHR-ril.
Have a plan ready for the rest of the season. Visit our hurricane section under the weather tab of our home page and make a plan before the next storm threatens.